Preprint
Jul 2026
Fast, Frequentist Estimation of Epidemic Reproduction Numbers
ConvRt is a frequentist method for retrospective and real-time estimation of effective reproduction number (R_t) that deconvolves latent infections and then estimates $R_t$ with successive penalized-likelihood steps, using a spline basis to model smooth curves.
Jeremy Goldwasser, R. Tibshirani, A. Bilinski
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