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A. Crosier

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Preprint Sep 2026

Prediction Markets Beat the Weather Forecast on Tomorrow's High Temperature

The sooner we receive information, and the more accurate it is, the better planning decisions we can make. Every day, prediction markets let anyone bet on tomorrow's high temperature in cities around the world, creating a market-implied forecast built on dispersed information. We use the past five years of market data...

A. Crosier · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Sep 2026

AI for AI: Optimizing Additional Infrastructure Build-out to Power Artificial Intelligence Data Centers

A framework linking data-center load growth, available generation capacity, and market-clearing prices to understand rapid growth in electricity demand from data centers is leading to higher electricity prices, without a compensating supply-side response.

A. Crosier, Kyle Onghai, R. Sircar · 0 citations

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