To investigate why climate models simulate diverse tropical Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) changes under greenhouse-gas forcing, we utilize two configurations of the Community Earth System Model (CESM2) that differ in their atmospheric component (CAM6 and CAM4). Under abrupt CO
2
quadrupling, CAM6 simulate...
M. Fu, A. Fedorov· Journal of Climate· 0 citations
Climate models robustly project enhanced warming in the eastern equatorial Pacific (EEP) by the late 21st century, producing a mean El Niño–like pattern that strongly influences atmospheric circulation and El Niño–Southern Oscillation dynamics. Here, we show that the magnitude of this pattern depends primarily on the m...
Jacob Stuivenvolt-Allen, A. Fedorov· Science Advances· 0 citations
Extreme El Niño events are among the most consequential climate phenomena, yet their early prediction remains challenging. Here, by analyzing the 1982/1983, 1997/1998, and 2015/2016 events together with a large ensemble of climate model simulations, we identify an unusually early and reproducible ocean-atmosphere precu...
Yu Liang, Shang-Ping Xie, A. Fedorov et al.· Science Advances· 0 citations
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