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A. Prein

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Open access Oct 2026

Benchmarking convection-permitting climate simulations for hydrometeorological characterizations: a comparative study of WRF-SAAG and observation-based products in Chile

Over the last few years, significant progress has been made in the development of convection-permitting climate models (CPCMs), especially in improving precipitation estimates in regions with complex terrain. Recently, the South American Affinity Group (SAAG) developed a novel high-resolution dataset – hereafter refe...

Sofía Segovia-Escafi, Pablo A. Mendoza, M. Lagos-Zúñiga et al. · 0 citations
Sep 2026

Projected Changes in Wind Hazards From Extreme Extratropical Cyclones in the Northeastern U.S.

Extratropical Cyclones (ETCs) can produce high‐impact weather in mid‐latitudes, leading to extreme precipitation, winds, and storm surges. Despite the societal and economic impacts of ETCs, gaps remain in our understanding of how ETCs and their related hazards will change in a changing climate. In this study, we evalua...

Alexandra N. Ramos-Valle, A. Prein, A. Jaye et al. · 0 citations
Open access Sep 2026

Compound atmospheric phenomena driving Antarctic mean and extreme precipitation

Antarctic precipitation is the dominant positive term in the ice sheet surface mass balance, directly influencing its contribution to global sea level rise. In some coastal and ice-shelf regions, episodic extreme precipitation events can account for more than half of the annual snowfall total; yet while individual atmo...

Marco Muccioli, P. Mooney, A. Prein · 0 citations
Open access Aug 2026

Convection‐Permitting Projections of Low‐Level Jets and Mesoscale Convective Systems in South America

Anthropogenic warming is expected to substantially modify the hydroclimate of South America, a region in which low‐level jets (LLJs) and mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) are key components of moisture transport and precipitation. However, the responses of these systems to future climate change, including the relativ...

Ye Mu, Charles Jones, L. Carvalho et al. · 0 citations
Oct 2026

Robust increase in extreme future precipitation in the Lake Victoria Basin based on km-scale regional climate projections

Long multi-decadal transient convection-permitting climate simulations are crucial for reliable regional climate projections. However, the large computational resources required are often not available, particularly in the context of African climate change studies. This poses challenges for regions like the Lake Vict...

Elizabeth Sunguti, Jonas Van de Walle, W. Thiery et al. · 0 citations
Open access Sep 2026

Multi-decadal convection permitting dynamical downscaling of current and future climates over South America

This paper reports on two sets of 22-year convection-permitting regional climate simulations conducted with the Weather Research and Forecasting model over the entirety of South America at 4-km grid spacing. The first simulation downscales the fifth-generation European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts atmosphe...

Chang-Hai Liu, Kyoko Ikeda, F. Dominguez et al. · 2 citations
Open access Jul 2026

The contribution of atmospheric features to mean and extreme precipitation across Australia

Understanding how precipitation is associated with the atmospheric features is critical for comprehension of processes underpinning water resource management and extreme events leading to natural disasters. This study evaluates how the key atmospheric features of Australia are associated to total and extreme precipitat...

Shaoxiu Ma, R. Trancoso, Jozef I. Syktus et al. · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Sep 2026

PCSDiff: Diffusion-Based Bias Correction and Super Resolution Toward Practical Operational Medium-Term Precipitation Forecast

This work introduces PCSDiff, a cascaded task-decoupled diffusion framework targeting 10-day precipitation bias correction and downscaling, which achieves low-latency rolling forecasting for practical meteorological operations.

Yuze Sun, Shi-Yi Wang, Jian-Cheng Pan et al. · 0 citations

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