Abakar Saleh Youssouf

Counterfactual crop-yield attribution to seasonal forecast advisories via doubly robust estimation: an artificial intelligence evaluation of adoption-selection bias in extension targeting

Seasonal forecast advisories are promoted as a climate service that raises crop yields, yet extension agencies typically target farmers who already differ from non-adopters in ways that also affect yield. the present analysis formalises the resulting adoption-selection bias and evaluates a doubly robust estimator for c...