Open access
Oct 2026
Breaking the Peg, or Not: The Limited Power of Oracle Manipulation Against Early Stablecoin Depeg Prediction
The Oracle Manipulation Index is defined, it is proved that shifting the aggregate by δ while one honest feed survives forces the unnormalized cross-feed price range to be at least δ/L for L-Lipschitz aggregators, and it is measured on a Foundry mainnet fork that a 0.1% move requires about USD 50 M in deployed capital.
Sheng-Wei You, Andrey Kuehlkamp, Aditya Joshi et al.
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