Amina Bello Suleiman

Sequential decision-theoretic triage of climate-model ensemble members under compute budgets: an artificial intelligence evaluation of tail-risk omission in national adaptation planning

National adaptation planning routinely draws on multi-model climate ensembles, yet the compute available for downscaling, bias correction and stress testing is finite, so planners must choose which ensemble members to process. the present analysis formalises that choice as a sequential decision problem in which a plann...