Amina Juma Msuya

Causal inference on mangrove-restoration carbon-credit additionality from Landsat time series under staggered enrollment: an artificial intelligence evaluation of permanence-risk overstatement

Carbon-credit methodologies for mangrove restoration typically assume that credited carbon storage persists for a fixed horizon, yet staggered enrollment and unobserved baseline dynamics make permanence risk difficult to identify from satellite time series alone. The framework combines a potential-outcomes model for st...