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Andrew J. Scott

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Open access Sep 2026

Reframing the epidemiological transition as increasing returns to tackling aging-related diseases

Global life expectancy has risen since 1973 from 58 to over 73 years, while the share of people aged 65 years and older has doubled to 10% and is projected to reach 21% by 2073. This shift is linked to an epidemiological transition from infectious to chronic disease. Here, using Global Burden of Disease data, we refram...

J. Ashwin, David E. Bloom, Naomi Lee et al. · 1 citation

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