Forecasting Iraq’s Broad Money Supply for 2026–2030: Evidence from Box–Jenkins Models and Monetary Policy Implications
This study forecasts Iraq’s monthly broad money supply (M2) from February 2026 to December 2030 using 265 observations covering January 2004–January 2026. M2 is modelled as an observed monetary aggregate rather than a structural money-demand function. Unit-root. stationarity diagnostics indicate non-stationarity in lev...