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Bo Cowgill

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Preprint Sep 2026

Contracting for Decision-Relevant Beliefs

An expert may misreport her forecast to influence a decision she cares about. We study contracts that elicit both her belief about a verifiable state and her stake in a binary action. If every belief is possible at two distinct stakes, exact incentive compatibility prevents a belief-only mechanism from letting the acti...

Bo Cowgill · 0 citations

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