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Preprint Sep 2026

COSTA: Covariance-Optimized Design and Causal Inference under Network-Temporal Interference

Experiments on networks observed over time face network spillovers, temporal carryover, and dependence deliberately introduced by the design. We propose COSTA---Covariance-Optimized Spatiotemporal Treatment Allocation---a joint Bernoulli design for unit--time assignments. Under common treatment marginals and a nonnegat...

Qian-Yi Chen, Bo Li, Yong Qin et al. · 0 citations
Preprint Aug 2026

Doubly Robust Estimation of Causal Effect on CVR with Targeted Regularization

Post-click conversion rate (CVR) is a key metric in various scenarios including e-commerce and advertising, reflecting the efficiency and user experience in the second stage of the conversion process. Estimating the causal effect on CVR is therefore of great practical importance. However, directly applying existing cau...

Jia-Yi Dan, Bo Li, Lu Deng et al. · 0 citations

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