C. W. Chukwu

Insights on United States cumulative measles cases during the 2026 outbreak using ARIMA and generalized linear models

To understand the nature of the current measles outbreaks taking place across the United States in 2026, we analyzed historical surveillance data dating back to 1997 using four distinct forecasting models. By withholding data from the first four months of 2026 for out-of-sample validation, we evaluated how well traditi...