Author

Colin Ellis

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Open access Sep 2026

The Fairness Illusion? A Cross-Dataset Audit of Accuracy and Demographic Bias in Credit Scoring Based on Machine Learning

Persistent demographic parity disparity among the more complex models is consistent with feature-level bias that no model architecture can resolve, and has direct implications for the less-discriminatory-alternatives framework under US fair lending law and for the high-risk classification of credit scoring AI under the...

Colin Ellis · Journal of Risk and Financia... · 0 citations

Open access Jul 2026

Learning to Listen? Fed Communication, Global Risk Sentiment, and Emerging Market Capital Flows

This paper examines the relationship between Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) communication surprises, global risk sentiment, and net portfolio debt inflows to twelve major emerging market economies over the period 2000–2024. Exploiting a high-frequency U.S. Monetary Policy Event-Study Database, we estimate panel f...

Colin Ellis · International Journal of Fin... · 0 citations

Open access Aug 2026

Narrative Disclosure and Private Credit Risk: Text-Based Evidence from BDC Filings Amid Macro-Financial Shocks

A persistent difficulty in monitoring private-credit risk is that narrative and quantitative information in periodic filings are produced jointly but evaluated separately. This leaves open the question of whether disclosure language is a useful signal of risk management behaviour or merely an echo of conditions already...

Colin Ellis · Risks · 0 citations