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Author

David MacLeod

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Open access Nov 2026

Predicting East Africa’s rainfall extremes with calibrated AI post-processing systems

A low-cost, uncertainty quantification method is presented that calibrates ensemble forecasts to probabilities of exceedances for rainfall extremes and helps guide forecast adoption for EWS.

S. Nath, David Koros, Fenwick C. Cooper et al. · 2 citations

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