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Faculty of Electrical Engineering

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#machine learning Preprint Sep 2026

An Input-Frugal Deep Learning Framework for Weather-Driven National Crop-Yield Forecasting: A Case Study of Brazilian Soybean

Reliable, timely crop-yield forecasts are essential for market stability and risk management, yet many approaches rely on costly or hard-to-scale inputs. We present a frugal, transferable, and architecture-agnostic deep learning framework that uses routine weather as the only time-varying input plus two lightweight sta...

Fernando Dupin da Cunha Mello, Prashant Kumar, Erick G. Sperandio Nascimento Stricto Sensu Department et al. · 0 citations
Preprint Jul 2026

Mens: Nonlinear shrinkage estimation in nonparanormal models for financial applications

The MENS attains the robustness of rank-based estimation and the efficiency of nonlinear shrinkage at once within this class, and delivers a better-conditioned covariance estimate, lower realized portfolio volatility, and lower turnover than linear shrinkage in an out-of-sample minimum-variance backtest on S&P 500 stoc...

H. Karamikabir, Mohammad Arashi Department of Statistics, Faculty of Electrical Engineering et al. · 0 citations
Preprint Jul 2026

Restricted nonlinear shrinkage of high-dimensional residual covariance matrices in multivariate regressions

We study estimation of the p*p residual scatter (shape) matrix in a high-dimensional multivariate linear regression, where p and n grow proportionally. When the coefficient matrix obeys a known linear restriction of rank q<d, as in multivariate analysis of variance, growth-curve models, and reduced-rank regression, the...

H. Karamikabir, Mohammad Arashi Department of Statistics, Faculty of Electrical Engineering et al. · 0 citations
Preprint Aug 2026

Towards Improving Sequential Decision-Making in LLM Agents via Experience Memory

An agentic framework enhanced with an experience memory designed for the sequential setting and addressing common challenges of sequential decision-making such as credit assignment is introduced, and it is shown that post-game reflection and rule extraction yield measurable improvements on tic-tac-toe without modifying...

Jakub Rada, Viliam Lisý AI Center, Department of Computer Science et al. · 0 citations

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