Ultra-Short-Term Multi-Horizon Point and Probabilistic Wind Power Forecasting with Power-Increment Enhancement and Signed Adaptive Conformal Inference
Local power changes, weak-output states, and changing interval coverage complicate ultra-short-term wind power forecasting. This study develops power-increment enhancement and signed adaptive conformal inference (PIE-SACI) to address these challenges within a joint point and probabilistic forecasting framework. XGBoost...