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Preprint Sep 2026

Bayesian Confidence Recalibration and Research-Equilibrium Criticality: Temporal Support in Robust Portfolios

Robust portfolio rules that reconstruct confidence sets after learning need not preserve the evaluator obtained by prior-by-prior Bayesian transport. In the Gaussian model, this discrepancy is summarized by natural-coordinate displacement: inherited transport preserves it whereas fresh reconstruction can replace it. We...

Han Yanç · 0 citations

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