When Error Mitigation Makes Things Worse: Budget-Aware Evaluation, Extrapolation Failure, and the Calibration Trust Boundary
Error mitigation is expected to turn noisy quantum measurements into more useful estimates. We show that it can instead amplify error. Under control-offset miscalibration, the evaluated unconstrained zero-noise extrapolation (ZNE) estimators are worse than no mitigation on 38-63% of simulated instances and produce extr...