Ensemble Sensitivity Study of Two Warm-Sector Heavy Rainfall Events Associated with Low-Level Jets in North China
Based on ECMWF ensemble forecast, this study examines two warm-sector heavy rainfall (WSHR) events in North China (3 July and 18 August 2022), which were characterized by distinct synoptic patterns, pre-trough type and edge of the Western Pacific Subtropical High (WPSH) type, yet both featured low-level jets (LLJs)....