Open access
Sep 2026
Assessing China’s COVID-19 control measures: a quantitative analysis based on a SIRD model
This paper established a Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Dead (SIRD) model to fit and predict the COVID-19 epidemic in China. On the premise of passing the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) robustness check, we counterfactually assessed the effectiveness of partial unlocking and vaccination policies. Our key findings are...
Yan Wu, Mingzi Yi, Dao-Jun Bi et al.
· Scientific Reports · 0 citations