Oropouche virus (OROV) is an emerging arbovirus with increasing outbreaks in South America, yet its environmental drivers and potential range remain poorly understood. Using ecological niche modeling (ENM) with random forests, we assessed the environmental suitability of OROV and its primary vector, Culicoides paraensi...
J. Poongavanan, Marcel Dunaiski, Graeme Dor et al.· Epidemics· 0 citations
By measuring vector similarity rather than relying on long exact seed matches, Anniemap provides greater robustness to sequencing errors and genomic mutations, particularly advantageous for viral genomes, where substantial sequence divergence is common.
D. J. van Zyl, H. Tegally, C. Baxter et al.· bioRxiv· 0 citations
Infectious-disease risk models often rely on occurrence records that are incomplete and spatially biased by surveillance effort, diagnostic access, and outbreak history. Ecological niche modelling (ENM) can identify areas where disease occurrence is environmentally plausible, yet most approaches represent locations usi...
C. Foka Takamgno, J. Poongavanan, M. U. Kraemer et al.· medRxiv· 0 citations
The 2026 Bundibugyo virus outbreak emerged in a region with frequent conflict, food insecurity, rainforest and mining-related human mobility in Ituri province in the north-eastern region of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). Existing ecological niche models have identified regions environmentally suitable for orth...
M. Moir, H. Tegally, D. M. Moges et al.· medRxiv· 0 citations
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