Highly pathogenic avian influenza H5Nx viruses remain a major zoonotic threat, yet global attention has focused largely on clade 2.3.4.4b, potentially overlooking major changes within long-endemic H5N1 lineages in Asia. Recent reports from South and Southeast Asia describe the emergence of reassortant clade 2.3.2.1 viruses alongside renewed human infections after apparent prolonged epidemiologic stability. Collectively, those events suggest a regional pattern rather than isolated anomalies. In this article, we argue that reassortment, rather than point mutation alone, might be an underrecognized driver of zoonotic risk in endemic H5N1 lineages and is reshaping those lineages. We examine why such events might be underrecognized in settings with entrenched poultry influenza, identify limitations of current surveillance systems, and call for integrated, real-time approaches linking genomic detection with phenotypic assessment across animal and human health sectors to enable timely risk assessment and coordinated public health action.
A. M. Byrne, Lorcan Carnegie, N. Lewis et al.· Emerging Infectious Diseases· 0 citations
The antigenic drift of viral glycoproteins must be balanced by purifying selection pressure to maintain functionality. Understanding these evolutionary processes is key to predicting and combating viral evolution but is primarily based on influenza A(H3N2), which may limit generalisability. By characterising the influenza B virus haemagglutinin (HA) over 8 decades of circulation in humans, we found continuous genetic diversification, punctuated with antigenic changes that did not follow a linear path in antigenic space. Antigenic change is primarily underpinned by re-occurring mutations and deletions at positions 136, 150, 162-165, 197 and 203. These residues form complex epistatic networks that modulate the antigenic impact of mutation recycling. They also generate permissive backbones on which immune escape can emerge with limited replicative fitness cost. Our study identifies critical similarities and differences with A(H3N2) evolution and demonstrates the role of epistasis in balancing antigenic novelty with viral fitness. Our findings and genetic, antigenic and phenotypic datasets support the development of genotype-to-phenotype prediction tools, but such predictions need to capture the complex outcomes of epistasis.
Lara S. U. Schwab, Ruo-Peng Xie, Ellie Reilly et al.· bioRxiv· 0 citations
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