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J. Karvanen

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Preprint Aug 2026

Graph-based causal variance decompositions: When"variance explained"means causation

Recursive application of the law of total variance decomposes the marginal variance of an outcome into components attributed to explanatory variables and a residual component. The resulting decomposition depends on the chosen conditioning order, and its components do not in general have causal interpretations. We devel...

O. Saarela, J. Karvanen · 0 citations

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