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Kelvy Rosalvo Alencar Cardoso

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#diffusion models Open access Aug 2026

Nonlinear expansion, spatial diffusion, and climate-driven dynamics of scorpionism in Brazil: a nationwide time-series and DLNM analysis (2007–2025)

The results revealed a pronounced non-linear increase in scorpionism, with a structural breakpoint around 2011 indicating accelerated expansion, and highlighted the need for integrated, climate-informed public health strategies and predictive modeling approaches to mitigate future risk.

Elania Barros da Silva, J. F. de Oliveira, Amaury de Souza et al. · 0 citations
Open access Jul 2026

Forecasting tuberculosis incidence in Brazil: Time series analysis of trends and impacts of the COVID-19 Pandemic

INTRODUCTION: Tuberculosis remains a persistent public health challenge in Brazil, with a significant increase in cases since 2015, hindering progress toward the disease control targets established by the Sustainable Development Goals. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to analyze trends in tuberculosis incidence in Brazil...

Amaury de Souza, Vahid Fakoor, E. S. de Medeiros et al. · 0 citations

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