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Kentaro Oda

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#artificial intelligence Preprint Aug 2026

A Shared Encoder Is Not a Shared Task: Conditional Comparison for Deep Expert Pools

It is shown that cross-evaluated heads on a frozen shared representation inherit the extrapolation confound of shallow exchange scores: pure input rotations with fixed labels inflate a deep exchange score from about 0 to 0.80, while representation-novelty scores are blind in the complementary direction.

Kentaro Oda · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Aug 2026

What Changed? Drift Detection with Real, Virtual, and Incomparable Diagnosis

It is shown that cross-evaluated heads on a frozen shared representation inherit the extrapolation confound of shallow exchange scores: pure input rotations with fixed labels inflate a deep exchange score from about 0 to 0.80, while representation-novelty scores are blind in the complementary direction.

Kentaro Oda · 0 citations
Preprint Aug 2026

Evidence Before Expansion: Reuse, Spawn, or Defer in Lifelong Expert Pools

This work proves finite-time anytime validity for the observable surrogate discrepancy of a predictable discriminator sequence, and an unconditional one-sided transfer to the population quantity in which each side's slack is the excess risk of a single discriminator.

Kentaro Oda · 0 citations
Preprint Aug 2026

Separating Covariate Shift from Mechanism Change with Two Discriminators: CJSD, a Conditional Discrepancy with an Exact Covariate-Concept Decomposition

The Conditional Jensen-Shannon Discrepancy (CJSD) is proposed, which proves a covariate-null property, a drift-mass law, a one-sided misspecification-control inequality, a one-sided misspecification-control inequality, and a fixed-measure metrization via an identifiability lemma.

Kentaro Oda · 1 citation

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