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M. de Carvalho

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Preprint Sep 2026

Tail Halos: The Covariate Dual of the Tail

Extreme events are often studied through regression models describing how covariates modify tail parameters. In many applications, however, interest lies directly in identifying the parts of the covariate space associated with tail events and with elevated exceedance probabilities. We formalize these ideas through tail...

Gianmarco Callegher, M. de Carvalho · 0 citations

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