Do Your Own Research: Learning to Forecast by Learning to Search
Outcome-based reinforcement learning can train language models to forecast real-world events, but prior forecasting work either freezes research context before training or deploys agentic research only at test time, so the skill of gathering evidence is never shaped by the reward. We introduce an agentic forecasting en...
Yusuf Afifi, Artur Kiulian, Anton Polishko et al.
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