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M. Lillo‐Saavedra

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Open access 2026

Rainfall-Induced Landslide Detection in the Central–Southern Andes of Chile Using Integrated SAR, Optical, and Machine-Learning Approaches in Google Earth Engine

This article presents a framework for postevent detection of rainfall-induced landslides in the south-central Andes of Chile by combining Sentinel-1 C-band synthetic aperture radar backscatter changes (∼10-m resolution), Sentinel-2 multispectral variables (10-m resolution), and advanced land observing satellite PALSAR-derived topographic attributes within a machine-learning workflow implemented in Google Earth Engine. The framework comprises three stages: 1) multisource feature extraction; 2) classification using random forest (RF), gradient tree boosting (GTB), support vector machine (SVM), classification and regression trees (CART), and Naïve Bayes (NB), evaluated through nested leave-one-area of interest-out spatial cross-validation; and 3) probability mapping. The approach was applied to landslides triggered by an extreme rainfall event between 20 and 25 June 2023, in the Andean sector of the Biobío Region. Under the reference configuration, RF achieved the best performance (F1 = 0.883, Precision = 0.947, Recall = 0.829), followed by GTB (F1 = 0.869); CART, SVM, and NB reached F1-scores of 0.825, 0.822, and 0.753, respectively. Sensitivity analyses showed strong effects of temporal sampling and optical data quality. The 7-day postevent scenario yielded spatially unreliable results (F1 = 0.463), whereas a 50-day period improved performance (F1 = 0.650). Restricting Sentinel-2 composites to the dry season improved results relative to longer periods affected by cloud and snow contamination (F1 = 0.883 versus 0.818). Overall, normalized difference vegetation index percentage change combined with RF provided the most robust performance for operational landslide probability mapping.

Luis Gajardo, Edilia Jaque-Castillo, M. Lillo‐Saavedra et al. · 0 citations
Jul 2026

Detecting rainfall-induced landslides with Sentinel-1 SAR: Evidence from the Andes

Rainfall-induced landslides are among the main geodynamic processes reshaping the Earth’s surface and causing human and material losses worldwide. In Chile, their spatial analysis remains constrained by the scarcity of systematic inventories, particularly in the Andean Cordillera. In this context, this study presents a novel inventory of rainfall-induced landslides in the Biobío Region during 2023 and 2024, based on the analysis of changes in SAR backscatter from Sentinel-1 imagery processed in Google Earth Engine (GEE), complemented by visual interpretation of Sentinel-2 optical images, GIS-based mapping, and selective field validation. Four intense rainfall events were identified; however, only two of them (June and August 2023) triggered detectable landslides, totaling 55 processes dominated by debris flows and debris avalanches. In contrast, no landslides were detected in association with the 2024 event, which was characterized by lower rainfall intensity in the study area. The strong contrast in landslide occurrence between events provides clear evidence of differences in rainfall magnitude and impact, highlighting the role of rainfall intensity and temporal structure in controlling slope instability. In this sense, landslide occurrence can be interpreted as a direct geomorphic response to rainfall forcing, reflecting the effectiveness of precipitation in triggering slope failure. The results demonstrate the high capability of a multitemporal SAR-based approach to detect rainfall-induced landslides in mountainous environments characterized by dense vegetation cover and complex climatic conditions, validating its applicability in Andean territories. The resulting inventory provides a fundamental baseline for calibrating precipitation thresholds, improving susceptibility, hazard, and risk models, and strengthening monitoring systems under scenarios of intensifying hydroclimatic extremes associated with climate change. It also offers a valuable dataset for the development and training of machine learning models aimed at automated landslide detection and regional-scale hazard assessment.

Luis Alberto Gajardo Pino, Edilia Jaque-Castillo, M. Lillo‐Saavedra · 0 citations

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