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Author

Mantu Gupta

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Preprint Aug 2026

Simulating Stress Laws under Extremal Dependence: Characterizing What Generative Models Must Preserve

We study stress-scenario generation for systems driven by multivariate heavy-tailed risk factors. Within regions where several financial losses are simultaneously extreme, stress analysis concerns both the conditional law of the risk factors and the most plausible configurations producing those losses. We show that bot...

Mantu Gupta, Anand Deo · 0 citations
Preprint Jul 2026

An Extreme Value Perspective on Learning Stress Laws

Self-Similar Generative Estimation (SS-GEN), a method for simulating multivariate tail events and estimating rare-event probabilities in both heavy and light-tailed settings, leverages asymptotic tail structure to enable standard generative models to generate representative extreme samples and estimate rare-event proba...

Mantu Gupta, Anand Deo · 0 citations

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