Conditional dependence and Scrooge ensembles in shallow random quantum circuits
The output state of a 2D geometrically local shallow random quantum circuit does not have long range correlations due to its lightcone structure. But this changes if one measures a subset of the qubits: long-range entanglement can be induced by the measurement process, leading to conditional correlations between distant qubits. In this paper we investigate the structure of conditional dependence in these circuits and its consequences for quantum advantage. For a tripartition $ABC$ of the qubits, we consider the ensemble of post-measurement states on $A$ that is conditioned on a specific measurement outcome on $B$ and ranges over all possible measurement outcomes on $C$. For circuit depths exceeding a constant critical value $d^*$, we conjecture that this ensemble is well approximated by a certain generalization of the Haar ensemble, called the Scrooge ensemble~[Jozsa \textit{et al.}, \href{https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevA.49.668}{Phys. Rev. A \textbf{49}, 668 (1994)}]; we also provide supporting numerical and analytical evidence. Our conjecture describes a precise sense in which the state retains its lightcone structure on the remaining unmeasured qubits, but also develops some globally random features arising from the measurement. A consequence is that $n$-qubit shallow random quantum circuits in two dimensions are classically efficiently simulable in the presence of a tiny depolarizing noise rate $\Omega(\log(n)/n)$.