Almost-Uniform Bayesian Convergence to the Truth Is Not Characterized by Countable Additivity on Conditional Hitting Times
We revisit the analysis of Bayesian convergence to the truth under finite additivity in a recent paper by Nielsen (J. Philos. Logic, 2021, doi:10.1007/s10992-020-09569-2) Its principal theorem proves that the posteriors of a probability function converge to the truth almost uniformly if and only if the function has two...