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Miguelito A. Ruelan

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Open access Jul 2026

Forecasting HIV Incidence Trajectories in Cebu City, Philippines: An ARIMA-Based Time-Series Analysis for Epidemic Surveillance and Public Health Planning

Background: The Philippines is experiencing one of the fastest-growing HIV epidemics in the Western Pacific region, with Cebu City among the most affected urban centers. However, localized forecasting studies remain limited, constraining evidence-based public health planning and resource allocation. This study aims to...

Jonecis A. Dayap, John Michael B. Genterolizo, Miguelito A. Ruelan et al. · 0 citations

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