Author

Muhammad Saeed

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Open access Sep 2026

Single-Response Optimization of Holt–Winters Smoothing Parameters for Seasonal Demand Forecasting

Accurate demand forecasting is vital for effective supply chain and inventory management. The Holt–Winters Exponential Smoothing method is widely used for time series forecasting involving level, trend, and seasonality. However, its accuracy largely depends on the appropriate selection of three smoothing parameters: al...

Muhammad Saeed · AI Computer Science and Robo... · 0 citations

#artificial intelligence Preprint Sep 2026

OntoKG-EQ: A provenance-grounded, competency-question-governed knowledge graph for auditable analyst querying

Analysts in emerging equity markets keep answering the same questions. Did fundamentals match the market's response? How does the local currency co-move with returns? Which firms outperform sector and benchmark, and which disclosures coincide with abnormal trading? These answers come from ad-hoc spreadsheets that are h...

Furqan Nasir, Muhammad Saeed, Muhammad Ehsan et al. · 0 citations

Open access Jul 2026

Leakage-Controlled and Applicability-Domain-Aware Machine Learning Optimization of Fly Ash-GGBS Geopolymer Concrete

The results demonstrate that high apparent predictive accuracy is insufficient for responsible data-driven geopolymer mixture design; optimization outputs should be filtered through leakage-aware validation, regional reliability diagnosis, explainable feature attribution, and applicability-domain screening before being...

Muhammad Saeed, Marie Abak, M. N. Mahmud et al. · Scientia. Technology, Scienc... · 0 citations