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N. Marrouche

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Open access Aug 2026

Impact of early catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction-real-world evidence.

INTRODUCTION Catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation (AF) has been shown to reduce mortality and heart failure (HF) progression in patients with AF and HF with reduced ejection fraction; however, outcomes in HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), especially the optimal timing of ablation, remain uncertain. OBJECTIVES To evaluate long-term outcomes of catheter ablation in patients with AF and HFpEF based on the temporal correlation between the AF diagnosis and the ablation procedure utilizing real-world data. METHODS In this observational cohort study using the U.S. Collaborative Network in TriNetX, adults with AF and HFpEF between October 2018 and October 2024 were identified. After 1:1 propensity score matching, 5550 patients were included. The primary endpoint was a composite of cardioversion, new antiarrhythmic drug (AAD) therapy, or repeat AF ablation after a 3-month blanking period. Secondary endpoints included hospitalization, mortality, HF exacerbation, and AAD use up to 4 years of follow-up. Outcomes were compared between patients undergoing ablation within 1 year of AF diagnosis and those having ablation after 1 year. RESULTS Over a mean follow-up of 742 ± 489 days, early AF ablation was associated with lower risks of the primary endpoint (hazard ratio (HR) 0.81, 95% CI 0.76-0.87, p < 0.001), reduced hospitalization (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.70-0.87, p < 0.001), and lower AAD Class I or III use (HR 0.82, 95% CI 0.77-0.88, p < 0.001). No significant differences were observed in HF exacerbations (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.89-1.00, p = 0.950) or mortality (HR 1.18, 95% CI 0.91-1.53, p = 0.211). CONCLUSION Early catheter ablation was associated with a decreased all-cause hospitalization and AF recurrence in HFpEF patients but did not reduce HF exacerbations or mortality.

M. Moersdorf, M. Abou-Khalil, C. El Khoury et al. · 0 citations
Preprint Aug 2026

Intervention-Aware Clinical World Model for Post-Op Outcome Forecasting in Cardiology

Many clinical prediction models treat post-intervention outcomes as a one-step mapping from baseline measurements to a future endpoint. However, recovery after a procedure often unfolds as an irregular trajectory: clinical observations, medication changes, repeat interventions, and physiological measurements are recorded asynchronously and can change risk assessment over time. We propose an intervention-aware clinical world model that represents each patient with a structured latent state and evolves it through time-ordered post-intervention events. The model first encodes baseline imaging into a 3D spatial latent state. It then updates this state using procedural context, static covariates, elapsed time, and peri-event physiological embeddings. Follow-up imaging provides training-only supervision through a latent forecasting objective. We apply the framework to atrial fibrillation ablation. During the 90-day recovery window, irregular post-procedure records provide clinically meaningful evidence for long-term recurrence risk. In repeated internal cross-validation on DECAAF-II, our model achieves AUROC 0.756 and AUPRC 0.777 for recurrence prediction. It also achieves a scar-extent MAE of 2.971 percentage points without requiring follow-up MRI intensities at inference. The learned state supports recurrence-risk queries at different horizons and retrospective input editing of blanking-period records.

Y. Chung, Yingshuo Liu, Abboud Hassan et al. · 0 citations

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