Nataļja Lāce

Predictive Cyber Risk Analytics and Computational Risk Metrics for SME Cyber Resilience Using Time-Series Modelling

Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) face increasing cyber threats, while existing cyber resilience approaches remain largely conceptual or provide static assessments with limited predictive capability. This study develops a dynamic mathematical framework for analysing and forecasting cyber resilience in SMEs. Bui...

Conceptual foundations for translating scenario-based cyber risk into investment decisions in SMEs

The paper synthesizes key theoretical perspectives on cyber stress scenarios, asset criticality, risk exposure, and the economic interpretation of cyber risk in resource-constrained environments and proposes a conceptual framework illustrating how scenario-based risk assessments and exposure indices can be translated i...

IV. NEW PERSPECTIVES ON MANAGEMENT AND ORGANISATIONAL RESILIENCE