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Open access Jul 2026

Estimating Time-Inhomogeneous Transition Probabilities from District Level Daily COVID-19 Transmission Data in Sierra Leone

Evidence is provided that time-inhomogeneous, covariate informed Markov models offer a materially better description of district-level COVID-19 transmission in Sierra Leone than classical time homogeneous compartmental models, with implications for sub-national outbreak monitoring in resource constrained settings.

A. Jah, O. Ngesa, C. Wamwea et al. · 0 citations

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