Author

Pedro Cadahía

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Preprint Oct 2026

Designing Independent Variation: A Guided Iteration Methodology for Price Experiments in Short, Correlated Panels

Estimation error in short, correlated pricing panels is dominated by trajectory dispersion rather than sampling noise, creating an identification shortfall that only independently assigned variation can resolve. We propose a guided iteration methodology to decide how much variation to generate, where, and for how long:...

Pedro Cadahía · 0 citations

Preprint Sep 2026

ACT, WAIT, or EXPERIMENT: A Causal Governance Framework for Retail Price Optimization Under Abstentions

This paper presents a causal decision framework for list-price elasticities in intermediated retail channels, where estimates are confounded by promotions, competitor moves and shopkeeper pass-through. Rather than forcing a number when the evidence is ambiguous, the system treats abstention (Wait) as an active diagnost...

Pedro Cadahía · 0 citations