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Review Open access Aug 2026

Everything Is Prediction: Modern Machine Learning as Bayesian Inference

We argue that the core methods of modern machine learning—conformal prediction, large language models and in-context learning, and generative/diffusion models—are not rivals to Bayesian inference but implementations of it, almost always of its predictive (de Finetti) form rather than its parameter-centric (prior-to-pos...

Nicholas G. Polson, Vadim Sokolov, R. Soyer · 0 citations

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