Sofiane Taki-Eddine Rahmani

SPDE-ETAS: Fast and accurate Bayesian inference for the spatio-temporal epidemic type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model

The Epidemic-Type Aftershock Sequence model is a well-established point process framework for characterizing earthquake occurrences. Traditionally, ETAS parameters are estimated using maximum likelihood methods, where the background rate is smoothed by a Gaussian kernel density. More recently, a Bayesian formulation ha...