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Author

Steffen Tietsche

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Open access Sep 2026

Evaluation of a stochastically perturbed parametrisations scheme for sea ice in sub‐seasonal forecasts

Within the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) sub‐seasonal ensemble prediction system, sea ice forecasts exhibit pronounced underdispersion, with ensemble spread being systematically smaller than the mean squared error of the ensemble mean. A contributing source of this underdispersion is that...

J. Spaeth, Steffen Tietsche, Kristian Strommen et al. · 0 citations

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