T. Karakasidis

Ramp Event Directional Forecasting for Wind Power Integration: A Regime-Stratified Ensemble Framework with Direction-Focused Training

Wind power ramp events (abrupt swings in output driven by frontal passages, sea-breeze transitions, and turbulence) are among the hardest problems for operators integrating renewables. Forecasting models are usually judged by aggregate error metrics (MAE, RMSE, overall directional accuracy) that average stable and ramp...