T. Popławski

Day-Ahead XGBoost Forecasting of Aggregated Residential Load: Accuracy and SHAP Ranking Agreement Across Experimental Configurations

This study assessed how the selected seasonal test period, training-window strategy, and hyperparameter selection were associated with differences in XGBoost day-ahead forecast accuracy and interpretation for approximately 300 G11-tariff households in Poland. Sixteen configurations combined four 31-day periods, sliding...