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T. Sapsis

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Preprint Sep 2026

A Time-to-Collision Barrier Function Approach to Collision Avoidance for Stochastic Systems

Collision avoidance constraints for autonomous systems are typically formulated in position or velocity space, implicitly reacting to geometric proximity. We propose an alternative paradigm based on the adversarial time-to-collision (aTTC): the minimum time in which an adversary could achieve a collision given its dyna...

B. B. Sorensen, Mitchell Black, Erfaun Noorani et al. · 1 citation
#machine learning Preprint Sep 2026

Mechanism-Aware Ensemble Conditioning for Data-Limited Emulation of Extreme Events

A mechanism-aware conditioning plug-in framework that turns a nudged coarse ensemble into a non-intrusive sensor of local instability geometry, showing that local instability geometry is not merely interpretable post hoc, but an actionable conditioning signal for data-efficient rare-event emulation.

Isabella Thiel, J. Bello-Rivas, Y. Kevrekidis et al. · 0 citations
Preprint Aug 2026

DySCo: Dynamically consistent data-driven downscaling of extremes in climate projections

Results show DySCo achieves superior dynamical consistency with the coarse GCM trajectories, essentially applying a minimal, causal correction to the GCM, preserving top statistical performance comparable to state-of-the-art unsupervised models.

S. Stamatelopoulos, M. Wang, I. Lopez-Gomez et al. · 0 citations

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