Sealed Before the Event: A Publicly Verifiable, Bitcoin-Anchored Forecast Record of 92 Graded Outcomes, with a Source-Agnostic Protocol for Scoring Unexplainable Forecast Sources
A five-step source-agnostic scoring protocol for sources whose generative mechanism is unavailable or unexplained is formalised: demand cryptographic anteriority; freeze the claim verbatim; grade the stream, never the anecdote; set weight by calibration, not theory; and let the frozen denominator filter uninformative s...