Distilling Temporal Search and Reasoning: Evolving LLMs for Future Prediction via Harness-Assisted Efficient Data Synthesis
Future event prediction carries broad social impact yet remains challenging. SOTA approaches augment LLMs with external agent frameworks whose predictive capability vanishes once the harness is removed. While recent Tool-Integrated Reasoning (TIR) internalizes deep search for multi-hop retrieval of facts, forecasting f...