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Open access Aug 2026

A zero-sequence-enhanced 7-channel MTF-ResNet18-MSA framework for transmission line fault diagnosis

Accurate transmission-line fault diagnosis is important for reliable power-system protection. Existing deep learning methods often rely on phase-domain voltages and currents, which may be insufficient to distinguish severe three-phase faults with and without a ground path. This paper proposes a domain-knowledge-enhanced 7-channel MTF-ResNet18-MSA framework for electrical fault diagnosis. The input consists of three-phase voltages, three-phase currents, and zero-sequence current. The zero-sequence current is introduced as an explicit grounding-related variable, while Markov Transition Field (MTF) encoding maps local voltage-current sample groups into two-dimensional transition maps. A ResNet18 backbone is adapted to 7-channel inputs, and a multi-head self-attention module is inserted after global average pooling to refine high-level feature dependencies. To avoid overlap-induced train-test leakage, the original sample records are split before local window generation. The proposed model achieves 100.00% accuracy under noiseless conditions and maintains 98.04% accuracy at 10 dB Gaussian noise. Compared with 1D-CNN, 1D-ResNet, 1D-Transformer, MTF-CNN, MTF-ResNet18, GAF-ResNet18-MSA, and STFT-ResNet18-MSA, it obtains the highest average accuracy over the tested noise levels. Channel ablation demonstrates that the 7-channel input is more effective than the 3-channel, 6-channel, and 8-channel configurations in this dataset. Sensitivity analysis shows stable performance under different MTF window lengths and bin numbers. Independent validation under a retraining protocol further supports the reproducibility of the framework on another simulated power-line fault dataset. The results indicate that the proposed model provides an effective representation-learning approach for simulated transmission-line fault classification. Further event-level validation, field-data testing, and lightweight deployment remain necessary.

Yan Lu, Wenjuan Zheng, Liming Wang · 0 citations
Open access 2026

Multi-Horizon Transformer Oil-Temperature Forecasting: Temporal Dependence, Load-Variable Utility, and Model Complexity

Accurate transformer oil-temperature forecasting is important for thermal-risk assessment and operational planning. However, reported gains from complex forecasting models may be affected by future information leakage, weak seasonal baselines, inconsistent target periods, and test-based model selection. This study establishes a leakage-free, target-aligned framework for direct forecasting at 6, 12, and 24 h, integrating controlled model comparison, input-utility analysis, exact temporal interpretation, and cross-dataset confirmation. Only information available at or before the forecast origin is used, and identical validation and test target periods are maintained across horizons and lookback lengths. Naive predictors, regularized autoregression, ensemble methods, XGBoost variants, deep sequence models, and linear-nonlinear hybrids are evaluated using expanding-window validation and moving-block bootstrap analysis. OT-only Ridge regression with a 72 h lookback and $\lambda = 10^{-4}$ was selected for all three horizons, achieving ETTh2 RMSEs of 3.1568, 4.0042, and 4.2920. After ETTh1-specific refitting, the corresponding RMSEs were 1.3701, 1.7532, and 2.0976. Ridge significantly outperformed the daily-seasonal baseline at 6 and 12 h, while the 24 h gain was not statistically distinguishishable. The six historical load channels provided no robust incremental value. Exact Ridge contributions showed a shift from recent thermal persistence at 6 h to dominant daily-cycle dependence at 24 h. Rapid cooling was overpredicted and rapid heating was underpredicted. Overall, increased model complexity did not provide a consistent advantage under a controlled protocol, while the combined evaluation, interpretation, and cross-dataset confirmation offer reproducible empirical guidance for transformer oil-temperature forecasting.

Yan Lu, Wenjing Zheng · 0 citations