Yigit Utku Bulut

It's the Problem, Not the Path: Budget and Difficulty Confounds in LLM Reasoning Trajectories

Reasoning traces of large language models are widely read as containing"breakthrough"moments and early-legible fates. Both readings rest on measurements missing a counterfactual control at the level of the claim; we supply both controls. First, a restart-controlled truncation probe separates when a solution fits the co...