Retrospective backtests provide a limited test of adaptive trading agents: they cannot rule out historical contamination, expose sensitivity to a single realized market path, or reveal internal degeneration during long-horizon adaptation. We introduce FORESIGHT-9, a prospective and process-aware benchmark built from nine auditable counterfactual stress worldlines branching from a common July 2026 information boundary. Each worldline specifies staged macro-financial events and joint multi-asset anchors; a deterministic generator realizes the trajectories, while observations are disclosed according to in-world time. A common contract standardizes observations and execution while preserving each agent's native adaptation loop. We evaluate two adaptive trading-agent frameworks with two foundation-model backbones across 36 long-horizon runs. Agent rankings vary substantially across worldlines and backbones, and a fixed equal-weight policy outperforms 31 of 36 runs. Process telemetry exposes failures that terminal returns conceal: in one high-return run, the live factor library collapsed while executed holdings converged to the equal-weight fallback, even though decision records continued to report an active factor ensemble. FORESIGHT-9 therefore evaluates not only portfolio outcomes, but whether adaptive agent state and execution remain coherent across alternative futures. We release the worldlines, trajectories, audit traces, and regeneration scripts.
Xiangxin Luo, Chengtian Hong, Haohua Li et al.· 0 citations
The most disruptive step that enterprises of small-medium size and maturity can take to make the most of the latest technological advances in AI is to step back from the hype and focus on establishing or reviving a good knowledge foundation layer. It is a hard message to present to the executive team; therefore, it needs to be backed by evidence, and its implementation needs to be of minimal impact on the existing processes. In this vision statement, we discuss how we need to rethink what evidence speaks to the decision-makers and propose a low-impact data strategy that adapts to the existing and ever-changing data flows and processes across the company. We firmly believe that knowledge graph techniques will increasingly become non-negotiable in the data strategy of an AI-powered enterprise, provided that we approach their design in a modular, dynamic and cross-functional way.
Enterprise data agents answer business queries by chaining many tool calls over multiple reasoning steps, routinely accumulating hundreds of thousands of context tokens per session. Existing compression strategies typically allocate retention budgets without accounting for the downstream consequences of removing individual tool outputs. Aggressive compression may therefore trigger costly tool re-invocations that offset the initial savings. We call this the compression--consequence gap. To close it, we propose TRACER, which formulates compression as a sequential per-tool decision problem. A lightweight REINFORCE policy assigns query-conditioned retention ratios using only information available at each compression event. Its consequence-aware objective jointly accounts for task success, total token consumption, and post-compression tool re-invocations. To improve credit assignment, TRACER uses a learned outcome model to compare the predicted consequences of the selected retention ratio with those of fully retaining each tool output. On held-out production queries across three compressor backends, TRACER reduces total token consumption by 29--46% relative to keeping all context while maintaining comparable or higher task success. Compared with a tool-type-conditional static policy, TRACER provides an additional 15--18% of token savings. Interventional rollouts show that the learned per-tool credit scores correlate with measured single-tool consequences. The learned policy also yields positive savings when transferred across agent backbones and compressor architectures, and reduces token consumption by 18--25% on five held-out LOCA-bench environments. These results demonstrate the value of consequence-aware, per-tool context retention for improving the efficiency of long-horizon language agents.
Ziqi Lin, Ye Wu, Mengying Yang et al.· 0 citations
Multimodal search agents answer visual questions by interleaving image understanding, web retrieval, tool use, and evidence synthesis. Strong systems exist, but in two expensive regimes: proprietary frontier models such as GPT-5 and Gemini, or large open vision-language backbones trained with substantial agentic data and reinforcement learning. We ask a different question: when released agent trajectories are distilled into much smaller backbones under a single-node budget, what is actually transferred? We study this with LiteSearch-VL, a low-compute recipe for Qwen3-VL-2B and Qwen3-VL-4B that uses only released OpenSearch-VL trajectories, parameter-efficient LoRA adapters, and synthetic step-level preferences: DPO on GPT-5-generated hard negatives targeting five local failure modes (premature answer, wrong tool, weak query, repeated query, ignored image). Across 12,400 GPT-5-judged rollouts on SimpleVQA, FVQA, LiveVQA, and VDR-Bench-testmini, the dominant effect is behavioral rather than a uniform accuracy lift: full-trajectory supervised fine-tuning transfers the agent contract, taking the 2B model from almost never emitting a usable answer (1,237/1,240 no_answer rollouts) to 28.4% macro Pass@1, matching or slightly exceeding the off-the-shelf 4B base (25.6%). Synthetic preference learning and compact tool distillation act as refinements rather than phase transitions (best 4B configuration: 30.8% macro Pass@1). Finally, a controlled VDR step-budget ablation shows that extra search turns convert abstentions into wrong_entity errors rather than correct answers, identifying answer verification, not search depth, as the next bottleneck for small multimodal agents.
Saeed Khaki, Nima Safaei, Kamal Ginotra· 0 citations
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Artificial Intelligence (AI) has long been inspired by studies of biological intelligence. Reinforcement learning, for instance, drew inspiration from studies involving animal learning and is now a powerful paradigm for solving many real-world problems. Recently, plant biologists have uncovered a wide range of complex behaviors in plants that enable them to flexibly adapt to variable environments. Here, we argue that such behavior can motivate new AI frameworks encompassing a range of problems overlooked by existing problem-solving frameworks such as supervised learning, tree search, and constraint satisfaction. We illustrate this idea with two examples of intelligent problem-solving in plants: (1) leaf mimicry in Boquila trifoliolata, a vine capable of altering its leaves' morphology to resemble those of multiple host trees simultaneously; and (2) coordinated root-shoot growth, wherein plants allocate resources across organ systems exploring distinct environments. While leaf mimicry is highly specific to Boquila, coordination of root-shoot growth is shared across most plants. For both examples, we capture underlying computational principles and identify problems fitting these frameworks that are currently unaddressed by AI. Finally, we outline preliminary task formulations and discuss how these formulations may be applied to non-plant problems.
Deepayan Sanyal, Joel Michelson, Carla E. Cao et al.· 0 citations
Background: Patient details and acquisition metadata are important for clinical decisions, image quality control, and automated research pipelines, but may be missing or unreliable in imaging archives.
Purpose: To develop and evaluate a fast open-source model that predicts patient and acquisition characteristics directly from CT and MR images.
Materials and Methods: Separate 3D ResNet-10 ensembles for CT and MR were trained on 57,291 and 43,200 clinical examinations acquired from 2011 to 2025. Both predicted weight, height, age, sex, contrast presence, vertebral coverage, and image noise. The CT model additionally predicted scanner manufacturer, tube voltage, tube current, convolution kernel, and post-injection time; the MR model predicted sequence class. Performance was evaluated on internal CT (n=501) and MR (n=636) test sets and an external CT dataset (n=54).
Results: Internal CT MAEs were 3.90 kg, 3.68 cm, and 4.42 years for weight, height, and age, with sex F1=0.990; corresponding MR results were 4.34 kg, 4.62 cm, 7.13 years, and F1=0.970. The CNN outperformed a segmentation-derived XGBoost baseline for all four core targets in both modalities (adjusted P<=.042). F1 scores were 0.963 for CT contrast, 0.953 for MR sequence, and 0.823 for MR contrast. External CT MAEs were 4.45 kg, 4.05 cm, and 5.17 years, with sex F1=0.971. CPU inference required 20 seconds for CT and 12 seconds for MR.
Conclusion: One 3D multitask model per modality can rapidly recover patient and acquisition characteristics from heterogeneous CT and MR examinations. Models are available in TotalSegmentator: https://github.com/wasserth/TotalSegmentator
Jakob Wasserthal, Joshy Cyriac, Michael Bach et al.· 0 citations
Classic Formal Concept Analysis (FCA) primarily focuses on the positive relationships between objects and attributes and does not have mechanisms for handling negation.To overcome this limitation, we introduce three types of negation concepts (contradictory negation, opposite negation, intermediary negation) into FCA.Based on the set SCOI and logic LCOI+PLCOI with these three types negation, we define formal context, Galois connection operators, formal concept and concept lattice with three types of negation,this leads to the proposal of a FCACOI: Formal Concept Analysis with contradictory negation, opposite negation and intermediary negation.For the reasoning in FCACOI, this paper focuses on attribute implication reasoning. Based on the logic LCOI+PLCOI and its semantics, we introduce the notion of ICOI-entailment as the semantic implication for attribute implication reasoning in FCACOI. Through ICOI-entailment, a connection is established between attribute implication reasoning in FCACOI and inference in the logic LCOI+PLCOI, it indicate that formally proven inference rules (theorems) in LCOI+PLCOI are valid in the attribute implication reasoning of FCACOI, LCOI+PLCOI provides a logical foundation for attribute implication reasoning in FCACOI. To illustrate the capability of attribute implication reasoning in FCACOI, we discuss its application in a concrete example. Moreover, we explore attribute reduction of the formal context in FCACOI, propose two research frameworks for attribute reduction from different perspectives, and compare their characteristics.We believe that, based on richer logic and semantics, FCACOI elevates FCA from a theory that describes affirmations to one that can describe affirmations and its contradiction(either this or that), opposition(extreme negation) and intermediary (transitional states between oppositions).
Predicting future organ dysfunction in Intensive Care Unit (ICU) patients is critical for early clinical intervention, yet existing machine learning approaches have largely treated the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score as an input to binary mortality prediction rather than as a continuous clinical outcome in its own right. We investigate the extent to which a Temporal Convolutional Net work (TCN) can predict next-day SOFA scores from multivariate ICU time-series data extracted from MIMIC-IV, characterise the relative contribution of each organ system to total SOFA variance and deterioration, and identify distinct trajectory patterns across ICU stays. A residual TCN trained on three-day sliding windows achieved a five-fold cross-validation R2 of 0.740 +- 0.013 and MAE of 1.431 +- 0.022, outperforming a naive persistence baseline on RMSE and R2. SHAP interpretability analysis revealed that the model functions primarily as a severity-anchoring mechanism rather than a true sequence model, with predictions dominated almost entirely by the most recent observation day. Cardiovascular dysfunction emerged as the strongest discriminator of both cross-sectional severity and acute deterioration, and unsupervised trajectory clustering identified two clinically meaningful phenotypes, an improving group (58.9%) and a persistently severe group (41.1%), differentiated by cardiovascular, hepatic, coagulation, and renal involvement. We conclude that TCNs can extract meaningful predictive signal from ICU physiological data, but that short input windows and complete-case selection bias currently limit their clinical utility, motivating future work on longer input horizons, alternative missing-data strategies, and external validation.
Unified multimodal models jointly support understanding and generation, but incur substantial redundant computation across tokens, layers, and generation timesteps. Through token-importance probing, we identify an asymmetric core-expansion structure: understanding exhibits a stable importance component, while generation largely shares this component but requires progress-dependent corrections. We therefore propose CE-Router, which uses a task-shared core scorer and progress-conditioned generation expansions, optimized through generation decomposition and cross-task core alignment. At inference, CE-Router compacts token computation and supplies a learned routing signal to Unified Computation Scheduling, which coordinates layer skipping, FFN pruning, diffusion-head cache reuse, and denoising-step early exit. Experiments on two representative UMM architectures demonstrate consistent quality--efficiency improvements across both tasks, retaining 98.03\% of dense understanding performance with a 1.93$\times$ end-to-end inference speedup.
Wengyi Zhan, Chenqian Yan, Songwei Liu et al.· 0 citations
As Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) evolve into sophisticated interactive assistants, their reliability depends not only on following instructions but also on validating them. We define Proactive Critique as the model's autonomous ability to identify, analyze and fix faulty user inputs without extra prompts. However, evaluations mainly test models under ideal circumstances or simple refusal behaviors, largely ignoring active error processing. To fill this gap, we propose MMPCBench, a comprehensive framework for evaluating MLLMs' proactive critique competence. It features a fine-grained taxonomy of 4 primary error types spanning 12 subcategories, ranging from cross-modal contradictions to missing visual premises. We adopt a hierarchical evaluation protocol to measure models' error detection, diagnosis and resolution performance, and apply alignment-aware metrics to assess the coherence between internal reasoning and final responses. Tests on 14 mainstream MLLMs show obvious weaknesses in proactive critique, especially in dealing with subtle visual anomalies. Notably, we identify a pervasive "consistency gap": reasoning models can often correctly identify and analyze errors during internal reasoning yet suppress these valid insights in final outputs to prioritize response compliance. The code and data is available at https://github.com/ALIENS32/MMPCBench.
Jinzhe Li, Gengxu Li, Jinnan Li et al.· 0 citations
Deep learning is often criticized for its theoretical research lagging behind practice. To make deep learning easier to understand, the entropy space theory is first introduced here. The entropy space can cover all the possibilities of any deep learning model by topological structure. It is independent of network parameters. Through the designed fundamental operations and norm, entropy space is proven to be a normed space within the formal axiomatic framework. Based on the theory, a unified coordinate system is proposed. It can coordinatize every state of a model and rank them by compression of the maximal value of information entropy. The theory offers a novel priori framework for mathematical fundamentals of deep learning.
Diffusion-based visual generative models deliver strong image and video synthesis quality but incur high inference costs because sequential samplers repeatedly evaluate large networks. Caching-based methods reduce inference latency by reusing intermediate computations across adjacent timesteps. However, existing cache controllers rely primarily on local temporal variation and overlook the trajectory-level consequences of cache reuse. We introduce Error-Propagation-Aware Cache (EpaCache), a training-free caching policy that adaptively allocates the reuse budget on timesteps with lower downstream impact. Experiments on image and video synthesis models demonstrate that EpaCache consistently improves the latency--fidelity trade-off over existing caching methods. On FLUX.1-dev, EpaCache outperforms the prior state-of-the-art caching method in both latency and fidelity, reducing inference time from $11.7$ s to $11.3$ s while improving PSNR from $21.4$ to $22.8$. On HunyuanVideo, EpaCache achieves a $2.63\times$ speedup over uncached inference and improves SSIM from $0.891$ to $0.905$ over the prior state-of-the-art method at matched latency.
Yuhan Liu, Zongwei Hong, Jinglun Li et al.· 0 citations
