Day-ahead (DA) electricity price forecasting is usually posed per market, with a separate model fitted to each grid's own history. This caps accuracy: statistical and tree-based baselines saturate, while higher-capacity sequence models need more training data than a single market's few years of hourly prices can supply...
Score-based black-box adversarial attacks pose a serious threat to deployed machine learning systems by exploiting repeated model queries to craft adversarial examples, requiring neither access to model parameters nor architecture. Existing defenses predominantly rely on stochastic output perturbations, which fail to p...
Ali Javeri, Javad Hezareh, Radin Shahdaei et al.· 0 citations
Generative recommendation models have shown promising results by representing items as semantic IDs and generating these IDs autoregressively. We introduce an approach showing that explicitly incorporating hierarchical and attribute-level supervision into generative recommendation can simultaneously improve training ef...
Tripti Shukla, Shwetha Somasundaram, Akshat Gupta et al.· 0 citations
We revisit the statistical mechanics of Transformer attention via modern Hopfield models. We present a free-energy formalism to characterize parameter regimes and critical thresholds for robust attention inference. The resulting free-energy landscape incorporates randomness in query states and attention weights. Attent...
Jerry Yao-Chieh Hu, Yu-An Chen, Maojiang Su et al.· 0 citations
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Deep learning has become the dominant form of machine learning due in part, to its ability to automatically engineer complex meta features from data. However, even deep learning features can perform erratically because of unobserved latent factors. incorporating latent factor information explicitly, can improve perform...
Learning symmetries through data augmentation offers an alternative to architectural equivariance, but does not guarantee that a network respects those symmetries. Measuring learned equivariance is especially difficult for intermediate representations, whose group actions are not specified. In a finite discrete setting...
Claire Schlesinger, Wolfgang Gatterbauer, Robin Walters· 0 citations
Neural surrogates for Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) are usually trained on synthetic data from numerical simulators. As models grow and scaling laws demand larger datasets, the cost of data generation often outweighs the training cost and becomes the bottleneck in the scaling quest. Unlike data in other domains...
Paul Setinek, F. Paischer, Nils Thuerey et al.· 0 citations
Linear-time sequence models typically store long-context information in a recurrent state. A fixed-size state limits how much information can be stored, while hybrid architectures that add full attention for better recall incur quadratic sequence cost. Alternatively, sparse attention with continued pretraining (CPT) ca...
Zekun Shi, Alastair James Arthur Price· 0 citations
Achieving complex, long-horizon robot behavior remains challenging because successful execution depends on skills grounded in a robot's physical affordances. Existing training-task distributions are often handcrafted or sampled from large language models (LLMs), relying on semantic plausibility rather than embodiment-s...
We propose a mitigation to reward hacking in reinforcement learning. Our setup involves a misspecified reward function that gives rise to unintended behavior, and a monitor used to detect unintended behavior. As with frontier AI systems, the monitor makes systematic errors. Consequently, using the monitor for data filt...
Jake Ward, Shawn Hu, Aria Wong et al.· 0 citations
Neural operator splitting composes a library of neural operators, one per physical mechanism, into zero-shot simulators of new equations. Existing approaches, however, require these mechanisms and their labels to be specified in advance. We ask whether a pretrained library can instead be adapted and grown from unlabele...
Lucas Thil, Jesse Read, G. Doquet et al.· 0 citations
Evaluating model uncertainty on real-world data is challenging because each instance provides only a single observed label, leaving true conditional class probabilities unknown. To address this, we introduce ProbabilityBench, a benchmark that provides exact, instance-level class probabilities across three simulated tex...
Yu-Yang Dai, Yu-Ting Tang, Futoshi Futami et al.· 0 citations
A machine-learning approach called CheMeleon provides a practical way to develop new drugs or other molecules with much less detailed, expensive experimentation.
Research Manager Mike Walker reflects on a career spanning hacker culture, cybersecurity, and AI, sharing lessons about trust, teamwork, leadership, and why solving difficult problems requires curiosity, judgment, agility—and an understanding of the rules. The post Learn the rules: The hacker mindset appeared first on Microsoft Research.
Learn how Google Antigravity and our Cheminformatics Skills accelerate drug discovery workflows, search compounds, and propose novel rigidified macrocycles.
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